INTERNATIONAL NEWS REPORT BY SPIDERSIGNALS.COM

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Following are five big themes likely to dominate thinking of investors and traders in the coming week and the Reuters stories related to them.It has been the worst first-half of a year for global stocks since 2010 as a mix of U.S.-China trade tensions, central banks turning off the money taps and cooling growth in Europe wiped a trillion dollars off MSCI’s 47-country world index.But let us put that behind us – Monday is the first trading day of the second 2018 half. What lies ahead?What is certain is that the U.S. Fed will raise interest rates again, at least once, possibly twice. The ECB will end its bond-buying at the end of December. The Bank of England, the Bank of Canada and some big emerging market central banks will also raise interest rates.The question is whether more misery lies in store for assets such as Chinese stocks which have entered bear-market territory. The yuan’s fate will be key to other emerging markets too after losses of 5-8 percent on stocks and bonds.So who will emerge the winner? At this point it is the FAANG U.S. tech stocks which collectively are up almost 40 percent. Whether the gains continue may depend on trade politics and Fed policy – a more aggressive Fed could ensure 10-year yields rise above 3 percent again and stay there.

 

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